2020 prediction: Mankind and the World
At 9:59 on February 18, 2009 Source: Xinhuanet
In 1965, when Stanley Kubrick directed the United States began to take pictures of "2001 A Space Odyssey," the illusion of human space flight 36 years later, he probably would not have thought that just four years later, humans have stepped onto the lunar surface.

We are experiencing in the 21st century's first 20 years, according to a U.S. think tank the Rand Corporation's view, the world is undergoing a global technological revolution, biotechnology, nanotechnology, materials technology and information technology integration will become increasingly faster speeds .
 
 
 


In the meantime, if the world political and economic situation similar to be able to avoid the turbulent large-scale war, then after a 20-year technology integration period, the human society and people's lives will be changed to what extent, World political and economic situation will develop in the direction towards what?

Of course, one prediction for the future, often in the speed of technological progress are somewhat optimistic, and in the forms of social organization and human environment are somewhat conservative changes. Not to mention the prospect of such as Kubrick's future after 36 years, even if standing in 1993 are forecast in 2004 of the world, and how many people can think of the Internet can be such a dramatic change in human communication and communication method?

Seen in this light, in the New Year in 2009 after 11 years about the world the face of prediction may just stand on the hilltop toward the current horizon, the direction of the sea and the stars made a view. However, we believe, "Global" magazine launched in the development of human society trends report, "predicted 2020: human and the world", because its record will still be the current part of human thinking, active thinking and imagination and has a special value.

"Global" magazine reporter /王豫刚

Development of science and technology has been successfully extended the average life expectancy of human beings, according to Australian scientists predict that by 2020, the average life expectancy of more than 100-year-old country is likely to occur. In 2008, the world's oldest country is Japan, whose average life expectancy of women has reached the age of 86.

In fact, in recent years, many major medical breakthrough, especially in genetics and stem cell research field. In 2008, "Tissue Engineering" organ transplants, cancer gene scanning, personalized news and so on the human genome map has let us clearly see in biotechnology, nanotechnology, materials technology and information technology integration trend.

With advances in diagnostic techniques and gene technology to improve, by 2020, use of biological nano-technology for the rapid identification of the Biological become a reality. Medical staff can give each patient a full range of genetic testing and biological characteristics of scanning, and then generate a set of each person's unique physiological characteristics of individual files.

Attributed to the semiconductor industry by leaps and bounds, that time, in some developed countries and regions, the medical records of this may completely disappear, the patient need only carry a small flash memory cards, or even directly in the body of a bio-chip implants, they can all their history and physiological characteristics of files stored in them.

Cumbersome registration and interview process will also be greatly simplified, advanced long-range automatic detection system equipment, will enable the majority of out-patient process through the network to realize, people can even through convenient home monitoring equipment to connect directly with the hospital, and through their unique physiological information file to complete most of the routine testing, without hospital visit. Most disease-causing bacteria and viruses can in a very short period of time was detected, has a huge amount of data in the diagnosis support system with the help of Doctor in the first time be able to give the correct diagnosis, and based on the patient's unique physiological characteristics of files treatment.

R & D and use of drugs, but also there will be a great progress. By 2020, the majority of drug research and development and testing, may have been through computer simulation, or directly in the "chip in" to carry out. In molecular recognition and nanotechnology with the help of "smart drugs" may be true, these drugs can be based on the patient's body, the environment, to determine which are cancerous cells and pathogens, which are normal healthy human tissue, thus realize the side effects minimum range, and even the complete elimination of drug side effects.

In 2020, many long-standing problems of human disease, may be a solution. Even if such a disease such as AIDS, no cure, but by 2020, will certainly have a more effective suppression of AIDS, avian flu virus vaccine or drug appeared. In another respect, it is very likely to discover new type of illness, the living environment and lifestyle changes to human health will bring new challenges.