石油供应似乎不受价格上涨的影响

2008年4月29日

近年来石油价格猛涨到创记录的水平。基础经济学认为，由于价格的上涨，消费将下降，供应会增长，生产者会开采更多的石油。但随着价格达到每桶120美元，许多能源专家开始担忧起来——似乎两者都不会发生，即消费没有下降，供应也未增长。高价格很少影响到全球对石油的需求或引来新的生产，由此造成的失谐使石油价格越来越高.... 石油供应没有增长多少的一个主要的原因是，欧佩克（OPEC）卡特尔(企业联合)以外的主要生产国，如俄罗斯，墨西哥和挪威等正显示出令人不安的萧条迹象… …但是，出于各种原因，其中包括开采成本急剧升高和限制外国投资的民族主义政策的出现，这些国家没有增加其石油产量 。

本博客译自纽约时报，周二）

Oil Supply Seems Impervious to Price Rise
4/29/2008
"As oil prices soared to record levels in recent years, basic economics suggested that consumption would fall and supplies would rise as producers drilled for more oil. But as prices flirt with $120 a barrel, many energy experts are becoming worried that neither seems to be happening. Higher prices have done little to suppress global demand or attract new production, and the resulting mismatch has sent oil prices ever higher.... A central reason that oil supplies are not rising much is that major producers outside the OPEC cartel, like Russia, Mexico and Norway, are showing troubling signs of sluggishness.... But for a variety of reasons, including sharply higher drilling costs and a rise of nationalistic policies that restrict foreign investment, these countries are failing to increase their output." (New York Times, Tuesday)