预测月线变化
月线运行可用一些年线规则来确定:
在重要顶部加上3个月,然后,再加上4个月,即7个月,得到一个较小底部和回调点.
在一个大的上涨趋势中回调通常不会超过两个月,第三个月恢复上涨,相同的规则同样适用于年线,――2年回调,第三年恢复上涨。
FORECASTING MONTHLY MOVES
Monthly moves can be determined by the some rules as yearly:
Add three months to on important bottom, then add 4, making 7, to get minor bottoms and reaction points.
In big upswings a reaction will often not last over two months, the third month being up, the same rule as in yearly cycle--2 down and the third up.
在极端市场中,回调有时仅维持2周或3周,然后,恢复上涨。这种情况下,市场可能会在不跌破月线底部的情况下连续上涨12个月。
In extreme markets, a reaction sometimes only lasts 2 or 3 weeks; then the advance is resumed. In this way a market may continue up for 12 months without breaking a monthly bottom.
在牛市中,次级趋势可能向下回调3至4个月,然后,再次恢复主要趋势。
在熊市中,次级趋势可能向上反弹3至4个月,然后,再次恢复主要趋势,尽管作为一般规则,股票在熊市中从不反弹超过2个月,然后,在第三个月跌破,并恢复主要下跌趋势。
In a bull market the minor trend may reverse and run down 3 to 4 months, then turn up and follow the main trend again.
In a bear market, the minor trend may run up 3 to 4 months, then reverse and follow the main trend, although, as a general rule, stocks never rally more than 2 months in a bear market; then start to break in the 3rd month and follow the main trend down.
月线运行可用一些年线规则来确定:
在重要顶部加上3个月,然后,再加上4个月,即7个月,得到一个较小底部和回调点.
在一个大的上涨趋势中回调通常不会超过两个月,第三个月恢复上涨,相同的规则同样适用于年线,――2年回调,第三年恢复上涨。
FORECASTING MONTHLY MOVES
Monthly moves can be determined by the some rules as yearly:
Add three months to on important bottom, then add 4, making 7, to get minor bottoms and reaction points.
In big upswings a reaction will often not last over two months, the third month being up, the same rule as in yearly cycle--2 down and the third up.
在极端市场中,回调有时仅维持2周或3周,然后,恢复上涨。这种情况下,市场可能会在不跌破月线底部的情况下连续上涨12个月。
In extreme markets, a reaction sometimes only lasts 2 or 3 weeks; then the advance is resumed. In this way a market may continue up for 12 months without breaking a monthly bottom.
在牛市中,次级趋势可能向下回调3至4个月,然后,再次恢复主要趋势。
在熊市中,次级趋势可能向上反弹3至4个月,然后,再次恢复主要趋势,尽管作为一般规则,股票在熊市中从不反弹超过2个月,然后,在第三个月跌破,并恢复主要下跌趋势。
In a bull market the minor trend may reverse and run down 3 to 4 months, then turn up and follow the main trend again.
In a bear market, the minor trend may run up 3 to 4 months, then reverse and follow the main trend, although, as a general rule, stocks never rally more than 2 months in a bear market; then start to break in the 3rd month and follow the main trend down.