江恩股票预测(5)--预测周线变化


预测周线变化
周线运行给出下一个重要的次级趋势变化,这也可能转变为一个主要趋势变化。
在牛市中,股票往往会回调23周,也可能4周,然后,再次恢复主要趋势。作为规则,这种趋势将会第三周的中部转折,并在第三周末收高,股票只针对主要趋势回调3周。在某些情况下,直到第四周才发生趋势变化趋势,然后,产生转折,并在第四周末收高。
FORECASTING WEEKLY MOVES
The weekly movement gives the next important minor change in trend, which may turn out to be a major change in trend.
In a bull market, a stock will often run down 2 to 3 weeks, and possibly 4, then reverse and follow the main trend again. As a rule, the trend will turn up in the middle of the third week and close higher at the end of the third week, the stock only moving 3 weeks against the main trend. In some cases the change in trend will not occur until the fourth week; then the reversal will come and the stock close higher at the end of the fourth week.

该规则翻过来适用于熊市。
在伴随有大成交量的快速(激烈)市场中,通常在次级趋势转折前会运行67周,在某些情况下,例如:1929年,这些快速运行持续1315周或四分之一年。这些高潮向上或向下运行。
Reverse this rule in a bear market.
In rapid markets with big volume, a move will often run 6 to 7 weeks before a minor reversal in trend, and in some cases, like 1929, these fast moves last 13 to 15 weeks or 1/4 of a year. These are culmination moves up or down.

由于一周7天,77倍等于49天或7周,这往往标志着一个重要的转折。.因此,你应在第49天至52天附近观察是否有顶部或底部,虽然,有时变化开始于第42天至45天,因为45天时期是一年的八分之一。同样,观察在第90 天至98天是否有高潮。
As there are 7 days in a week and seven times seven equals 49 days or 7 weeks, this often marks an important turning point. Therefore you should watch for top or bottom around the 49th to 52nd day, altho at times a change will start on the 42nd to 45th day, because a period of 45 days is l/8 of a year. Also watch for culminations at the end of 90 to 98 days.

市场下跌7周后,可能有2周或3周的横盘,然后,再上涨,这一点符合在第三个月转折的月线规则。
总要观察一支股票的年度趋势,并考虑是否为牛市或熊市的一年。在牛市年中,如同月线图表所示的那样,很多时候,一只股票回调23周,然后,休息3周或4周,最后,进入新的区域,并上涨67周以上。
After a market has declined 7 weeks, it may have 2 or 3 short weeks on the side and then turn up, which agrees with the monthly rule for a change in the third month.

Always watch the annual trend of a stock and consider whether it is in a bull or bear year. In a bull year, with the monthly chart showing up, there are many times that a stock will react 2 or 3 weeks, then rest 3 or 4 weeks, and then go into new territory and advance 6 to 7 weeks more.

一只股票做出顶部并回调23周后,它可能反弹23周,但没有超过第一个高点,然后在一个交易区间内整理数周,而不突破区域内最高点或跌破最低点。这种情况下,你可以靠近低点处买入或靠近高点处卖出,并设立13点的止损点,用以保护。然而,更好的计划是在买卖之前等到股市显示出特定的趋势后,再在突破交易区间最高点时买入或跌破最低点时卖出。
After a stock makes top and reacts 2 to 3 weeks, it may then have a rally of 2 to 3 weeks without getting above the first top, then hold in a trading range for several weeks without crossing the highest top or breaking the lowest week of that range. In cases of this kind, you can buy near the low point or sell near the high point of that range and protect with a stop loss order 1 to 3 points away. However, a better plan would be to wait until the stock shows a definite trend before buying or selling; then buy the stock when it crosses the highest point or sell when it breaks the lowest point of that trading range.